Lumezzane vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
54.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
REG
2 - 0
ACL
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 1
GER
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
ACL
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACL
2 - 0
ABN
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PAV
0 - 2
ACL
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 1
PAD
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 0
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
PAD
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 1
BV5
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
PAD
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |