Lumezzane vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 0
ACL
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 0
CTT
45%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 2
ACL
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 2
TRE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
4 - 4
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 1
ACP
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAD
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |