Lumezzane vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 2
USC
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 1
ACL
67%
22%
11%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ACL
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
ABN
0 - 1
ACL
59%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 2
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 0
ABN
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |