Lumezzane vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
ACL
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
USC
2 - 0
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIS
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
COM
1 - 2
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 0
ACS
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 2
GRO
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPE
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 0
PIS
46%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FRO
2 - 1
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
COM
62%
23%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |