Lumezzane vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 1
ACL
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 3
ARZ
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 2
ACL
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 2
ACL
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 1
SPA
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
REG
3 - 0
SPE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 1
RIM
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
2 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |