Lumezzane vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 3
ACL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ACL
4 - 3
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 4
ACL
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ACL
0 - 0
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACL
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SPE
4 - 0
REG
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ARZ
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPE
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CES
2 - 2
SPE
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |