Lumezzane vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 2
ACL
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
PIS
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACL
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
RIM
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
34%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 2
NOV
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
2 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAV
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |