Lumezzane vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ACL
2 - 2
CAR
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CTT
0 - 1
ACL
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIS
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 2
ACL
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACP
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 2
TRE
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPA
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |