Lumezzane vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 2
ACL
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
ACP
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
REG
0 - 1
ACL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 1
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CES
3 - 1
ACL
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 0
CTT
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 3
PAV
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
CTT
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 0
RIM
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |