Lumezzane vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACL
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 1
FRO
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACP
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SAS
2 - 1
ACL
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 1
ASL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
VIT
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACI
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 1
ACI
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 2
GRO
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |