Lumezzane vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACL
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ACL
0 - 0
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 3
PAV
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACL
34%
29%
38%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
REG
3 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 2
REG
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
REG
0 - 5
ARZ
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
RIM
1 - 0
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PIS
3 - 0
REG
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |