Lumezzane vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACL
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
ACL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
ACL
3 - 0
ALV
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
ACL
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
ACL
3 - 2
ARZ
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
ARZ
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
VAR
3 - 1
REG
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
REG
0 - 4
SPE
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
SPA
3 - 1
REG
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
REG
2 - 0
LEC
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |