Lumezzane vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
ACL
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ACL
0 - 1
USC
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACL
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ACL
0 - 0
FCS
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ACD
4 - 5
ACL
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 2
ACD
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FER
4 - 2
PAV
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VNZ
2 - 2
PAV
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAV
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |