Lumezzane vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FRO
0 - 2
ACL
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 0
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 1
ACL
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
ACL
0 - 0
SAS
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 1
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 1
ACS
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PRO
3 - 3
PAV
40%
29%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 4
PIS
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
COM
0 - 0
PAV
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |