Lumezzane vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACL
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
ARZ
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
5 - 0
ACL
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACL
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ACL
4 - 2
ALZ
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
CES
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CES
2 - 2
REG
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |