Locri 1909 vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
LOC
80%
15%
6%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOC
3 - 0
ROT
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
LOC
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LOC
3 - 0
ASD
24%
21%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 2
LOC
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
MES
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
ACI
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |