Locri 1909 vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
RAA
2 - 1
LOC
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LOC
0 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ACI
3 - 1
LOC
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LOC
0 - 2
LAT
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 3
LOC
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 2
LIC
32%
28%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIC
1 - 0
RAG
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 1
LIC
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LIC
2 - 2
SMC
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
RAA
0 - 0
LIC
27%
28%
45%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |