Locri 1909 vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 1
LOC
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
USC
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 4
TUR
29%
23%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
LOC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
CCI
57%
20%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 0
TUR
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
CIT
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 0
CCI
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIT
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 2
MES
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |