Locri 1909 vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
42.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
10º
2º
41
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
2 - 0
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CAT
2 - 0
LOC
86%
11%
3%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
1 - 5
USV
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
0 - 0
TRA
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
1 - 1
LOC
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
USC
1 - 1
RAA
29%
25%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
USC
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USC
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAT
4 - 0
USC
85%
12%
3%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
USC
0 - 4
ACI
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |