Locri 1909 vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 4
TUR
29%
23%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
LOC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
CCI
57%
20%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOC
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 0
MES
41%
23%
35%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
4 - 2
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
10%
22%
68%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 3
USC
41%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
USC
2 - 1
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |