AC Leon vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
54.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Leon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
7 - 2
LEO
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
USP
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
LEO
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 0
CAS
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +4 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VCB
5 - 1
LEO
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
6 - 2
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLG
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USB
2 - 2
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
DES
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |