AC Legnano vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
MOD
0 - 1
UNI
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
VIC
1 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 0
PIS
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ANC
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
68%
17%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
MES
0 - 1
ANC
64%
18%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SER
2 - 3
MES
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 1
MES
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |