AC Legnano vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
PAD
1 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
GEN
2 - 0
UNI
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
UNI
2 - 0
VER
73%
16%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 0
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 2
UNI
68%
18%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
TRE
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASL
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 0
ASL
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |