AC Legnano vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
UNI
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VCB
1 - 1
UNI
20%
19%
61%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
UNI
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VFC
0 - 5
UNI
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
OLG
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 3
GOZ
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
LAV
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |