AC Legnano vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
GEN
5 - 0
UNI
91%
6%
3%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
NAP
2 - 1
UNI
90%
7%
3%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
UNI
3 - 0
LIV
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
TRI
1 - 0
UNI
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
ROM
3 - 0
UNI
92%
5%
2%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 0
INT
8%
14%
79%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
ACM
4 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 2
BOL
9%
15%
76%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 2
NAP
8%
14%
78%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -1 |