AC Legnano vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FCC
0 - 2
UNI
35%
25%
39%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 2
FCS
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 3
ACM
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FSD
1 - 3
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
OLB
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAV
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACS
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
PAV
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |