AC Giacomense vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Giacomense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACG
72%
18%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACG
1 - 2
FCC
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 3
ACG
62%
21%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACG
1 - 3
ASS
17%
25%
58%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 1
RIM
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 0
VIN
40%
27%
34%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
FAN
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 3
MAN
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
USA
2 - 0
FAN
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 0
ASS
14%
23%
64%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +1 |