AC Giacomense vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Giacomense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
ACG
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACG
45%
27%
28%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACG
2 - 0
SAV
25%
26%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 2
ACG
54%
25%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACG
2 - 0
CUN
15%
23%
62%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 0
USA
18%
25%
58%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RIM
0 - 2
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 0
LEC
52%
25%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIN
2 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 2
CAS
37%
26%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |