Fulgens Foligno vs Terranuova Traiana analysis

Fulgens Foligno Terranuova Traiana
12 ELO 34
-1.4% Tilt 0%
5017º General ELO ranking 4863º
236º Country ELO ranking 224º
ELO win probability
11.9%
Fulgens Foligno
17.4%
Draw
70.7%
Terranuova Traiana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
Fulgens Foligno
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.7%
Win probability
Terranuova Traiana
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fulgens Foligno
+3307%
-3%
Terranuova Traiana

Points and table prediction

Fulgens Foligno
Their league position
Terranuova Traiana
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
13º
24
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Livorno
54
75
99%
Seravezza
42
60
35%
Grosseto
39
60
30%
Siena
41
59
27%
Fulgens Foligno
41
56
19.5%
Follonica Gavorrano
31
49
26.5%
Poggibonsi
32
49
21%
GSD Ghiviborgo
35
46
14.5%
Montevarchi Calcio
11º
30
45
10.5%
Orvietana Calcio
31
45
10º
15.5%
AS Figline
12º
29
44
11º
13%
Ostia Mare
13º
28
43
12º
13%
Sangiovannese
10º
30
42
13º
15%
San Donato Tavarnelle
14º
25
39
14º
18%
Terranuova Traiana
15º
24
38
15º
22.5%
Sporting Trestina
16º
22
34
16º
26.5%
Flaminia
17º
19
31
17º
38%
Fezzanese
18º
16
27
18º
63.5%
Expected probabilities
Fulgens Foligno
Terranuova Traiana
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
71% 0.5%
Mid-table
28.5% 24.5%
Relegation play-offs
0.5% 65.5%
Relegation
0% 9.5%

ELO progression

Fulgens Foligno
Terranuova Traiana
Fezzanese
San Donato Tavarnelle
Montevarchi Calcio
Grosseto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Terranuova Traiana
Terranuova Traiana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
GRO
Grosseto
0 - 0
Terranuova Traiana
ATT
40%
23%
37%
35 37 2 0
07 May. 2023
ATT
Terranuova Traiana
0 - 1
Seravezza
SER
45%
23%
32%
36 37 1 -1
30 Apr. 2023
SSD
Città di Castello
0 - 1
Terranuova Traiana
ATT
27%
22%
51%
35 26 9 +1
23 Apr. 2023
ATT
Terranuova Traiana
1 - 1
Grosseto
GRO
45%
23%
32%
35 35 0 0
16 Apr. 2023
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
1 - 1
Terranuova Traiana
ATT
64%
18%
17%
34 40 6 +1