AC Este vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ACE
1 - 1
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
ACE
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ACE
3 - 0
FON
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MES
1 - 2
ACE
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ACE
3 - 1
TAM
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
FON
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MES
5 - 0
TRI
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
TAM
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 1
TRI
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAM
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |