AC Este vs Union Ripa Fenadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACE
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
ACE
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ACE
2 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FON
0 - 0
ACE
23%
21%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ACE
2 - 1
MES
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Ripa Fenadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
URF
3 - 0
MON
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MES
3 - 3
URF
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
URF
1 - 1
BEL
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LEV
1 - 2
URF
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
URF
1 - 1
FON
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |