AC Este vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 1
ACE
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ACE
0 - 0
LEV
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
ACE
51%
22%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ACE
1 - 1
CNO
75%
15%
9%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 0
ACE
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FON
2 - 1
MES
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MES
0 - 2
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TAM
2 - 0
MES
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MES
2 - 0
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
MES
6 - 7
TRE
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |