AC Este vs Jolly Montemurlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 2
POR
23%
26%
51%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VFS
2 - 1
ACE
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ACE
7 - 1
ACM
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
URF
5 - 0
ACE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ACE
0 - 0
SCM
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
JMO
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
JMO
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
OST
1 - 0
JMO
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JMO
2 - 0
SCA
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ANC
1 - 3
JMO
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |