AC Este vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
57.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
THE
1 - 3
ACE
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ACE
3 - 1
RIM
42%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RIB
0 - 4
ACE
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 0
JMO
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 2
POR
23%
26%
51%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
IMO
74%
17%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
SCA
2 - 1
COR
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 3
COR
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
DEL
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |