AC Este vs Calvi Noale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 3
ACE
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ACE
3 - 2
AVI
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UAR
0 - 0
ACE
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ACE
0 - 1
SDA
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ACE
0 - 1
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calvi Noale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 2
AVI
13%
17%
71%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 0
CNO
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
UNI
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
SDA
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FON
3 - 2
CNO
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |