AC Este vs Calvi Noale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 0
ACE
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ACE
3 - 1
ABA
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ACE
0 - 0
PIA
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACE
32%
23%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ACE
2 - 2
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |