Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
10º
18º
12º
53
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dolomiti Bellunesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AST
1 - 2
ADB
22%
21%
58%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ADB
1 - 3
SDA
24%
24%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
ADB
23%
21%
56%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
ADB
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ADB
2 - 1
POR
27%
22%
52%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 2
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
VIR
29%
23%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIR
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
AST
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |