Cesena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 4
CES
9%
17%
74%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
CES
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
CES
0 - 0
VIC
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
ACD
73%
17%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
ACD
2 - 3
PES
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PES
2 - 1
ACD
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
ACD
3 - 1
ASG
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ASG
2 - 0
ACD
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |