Cesena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CES
2 - 2
LAT
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
ACD
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ACD
3 - 2
BEN
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACD
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 1
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACD
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |