Cesena vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
IMO
1 - 4
CES
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CES
1 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 1
CES
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TRI
4 - 1
CES
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CES
0 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIC
0 - 0
VIR
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIS
1 - 1
VIC
15%
26%
59%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIC
0 - 0
ASG
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RIM
1 - 3
VIC
13%
25%
62%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |