Cesena vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 2
CES
33%
26%
42%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
CES
1 - 1
PIS
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
GEN
0 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
CES
0 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
12%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
CES
4 - 1
BAR
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
VIC
2 - 0
GEN
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
VIC
0 - 0
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
TER
0 - 0
VIC
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAL
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
TAR
1 - 0
VIC
29%
31%
40%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |