Cesena vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 0
CES
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CES
0 - 0
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
CES
40%
26%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CES
2 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 2
CES
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PER
41%
29%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SPA
3 - 1
VNZ
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VNZ
2 - 0
UNI
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VNZ
3 - 1
NOV
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ACL
0 - 0
VNZ
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |