Cesena vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 2
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
TRI
4 - 2
TRE
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 0
TRI
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAT
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |