Cesena vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
FCC
1 - 0
CES
44%
31%
25%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
USC
0 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
CES
2 - 0
CAV
61%
25%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
CAG
1 - 0
CES
49%
30%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
CES
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 1
USC
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
CAM
1 - 1
TRI
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
TRI
2 - 1
CAG
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 1
TRI
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
TRI
0 - 0
CAV
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |