Cesena vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MOD
4 - 0
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
CES
2 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
GRO
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 2
SAS
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 1
GRO
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |