Cesena vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
42%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CES
3 - 0
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 1
CES
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 1
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 2
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SAS
2 - 3
GRO
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
GRO
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
0 - 0
GRO
32%
26%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |