Cesena vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
PES
0 - 0
CES
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
CES
0 - 0
ATL
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 1
CES
43%
31%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
USC
0 - 2
REG
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
TRE
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
VER
5 - 2
USC
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
USC
1 - 2
BRE
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |