Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-5
Cesena vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
CES
1 - 0
VER
44%
30%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
SAM
0 - 0
CES
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
CES
1 - 1
JUV
16%
25%
60%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
INT
1 - 1
CES
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
FIO
0 - 0
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MAN
0 - 0
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
USC
2 - 0
MAN
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
USC
0 - 3
SAM
20%
29%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BAR
2 - 0
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
USC
0 - 1
ROM
26%
28%
47%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |