Cesena vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
47%
29%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
RIM
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
USC
3 - 0
MOD
53%
30%
17%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
USC
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
USC
0 - 1
PIS
45%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
RIM
2 - 1
USC
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
49%
30%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |