Cesena vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
USC
2 - 1
CES
35%
32%
34%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
CES
0 - 0
ASC
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CES
0 - 0
TER
61%
25%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 1
PAL
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
COM
52%
29%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
TER
2 - 0
AVE
51%
28%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
AVE
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |